Two statements from the same day, on the same series, give certified medians of $150.00 and $525.00.This is not an error: these are two different requests which do not bring up the same announcements, on a title where the circulation rank changes everything. On August 29, 2026, crude oil settles between9,99 et 23,00 $according to research, and the certified account16, 37 ou 65 annoncesselon la formulation.None of these numbers are wrong, and none alone is enough.
Rather than choosing the most flattering number, you might as well explain why they diverge — it's more useful than a rating.
This article details the three statements, explains what separates them, shows what they allow us to assert despite everything, and gives a reading method applicable to any series.
Les trois relevés
All date from August 29, 2026 and relate to fixed price announcements. These are prices asked by sellers, counted separately depending on whether the copy is raw or certified.
Broad search on the series
Raw :149 annonces, $1.75 to $2,950.00, median9,99 $. Certifié :16 annonces, médiane185,00 $.
This is the most representative body measurement in the series.
Search targeting first number and year
Brut :73 ads, médiane$23.00. Certifié :37 annonces, médiane525,00 $.
Highest certified median of the three.
Search mentioning the first print
Brut :116 annonces, médiane12,98 $. Certifié :65 annonces, médiane150,00 $.
The greatest number of certified listings, the lowest median.
Colorized editions
Raw :60 annonces, median9,99 $, starting at $2.89.Aucune annonce certifiée.
Why they diverge
The explanation is entirely that each query selects, and it is verifiable.
A broad search returns all numbers.Over a series of several dozen numbers, most of which are common, the median goes down mechanically — $9.99 describes the average number, not the first.
A targeted search on the first number concentrates the searched parts.It brings back more high-level certified copies, resulting in a certified median of $525.00.
A search mentioning circulation attracts sellers who document.These precisely describe their copies, including late prints - hence 65 certified announcements but a median pulled down by less sought-after copies.
None of these three measures lie.They describe three different populations that nothing obliges to look alike, and the only mistake would be to treat them as competing estimates of the same thing.
This is the most common pitfall in market commentary.We cite a figure without saying what research produced it, then we compare it to another obtained otherwise.
In this series, the difference between two readings on the same day reaches a factor of three and a half on the certified slope. A reader who encounters these two figures in two different articles would conclude that the market is evolving, even though these are only two ways of asking the question.
What we can say despite everything
The discrepancy does not preclude any conclusion. Three observations stand up to the three statements.
The body of the series is cheap.Regardless of the query, the raw median remains between $9.99 and $23.00, and entries fall between $1.50 and $2.00. Reading this work in numbers does not cost much.
The certified market is massive for self-publishing.From 16 to 65 ads depending on the measurement: even the lowest figure is considerable for a series published by its author.
Colorized editions have no collectible market.Zero certified ads out of 60 ads noted, and a median aligned with that of current numbers.
These three findings are robust precisely because they do not depend on a particular query.What survives several independent measurements is better than a precise number obtained once.
What the certified slope reveals
The scale of the certified market is the most singular fact in this series and deserves to be explained.
On the other self-published works examined in this campaign, certification is anecdotal or even absent: one announcement, two, sometimes none. There are dozens of them here.
The reason is functional.A second vintage print is materially almost identical to the first, the distinction based on mentions in small print. Certification is therefore the simplest way to establish a rank, and it has a usefulness that no one disputes.
This also explains why it is practiced on modest specimens. A median certified at $150.00 in the third measurement indicates that we are certifying copies that are not worth a fortune — because it is not the price that we are trying to establish, it is the identity.
This is a use of certification different from that observed elsewhere, where it is mainly used to set a status on an already expensive part.
What the extreme demands say
All three readings have spectacular maximums, and it's worth saying what they are.
There are requests for $2,950.00 gross and up to $7,500.00 certified. These amounts are isolated: no neighbor corroborates them, and the corresponding medians are two orders of magnitude lower.
A request without a neighbor is not a price, it is a proposition.There is no reason to consider it as serious, and there is no indication that it has ever found a buyer - an ad report only measures what is posted.
However, these values have a real effect. Taken out of context, they create expectations among occasional sellers who align their own requests with the highest figure seen, and the mechanism propagates without any transaction having validated it.
This is one more reason to think in terms of median and number of observations. The median ignores the extremes by construction; the average would find itself distorted to the point of no longer describing anything.
What this case teaches about published odds
A general conclusion is necessary, and it applies well beyond this series.
Any published rating results from a method: a choice of sources, a scope of references, a way of dealing with extremes.This method is almost always invisible, while it determines the outcome as much as the market itself.
This file provides the clearest demonstration of the entire campaign: three measurements of the same object, on the same day, by the same person, with differences that would be interpreted as years of evolution if they appeared in different sources.
The lesson is not that we should be suspicious of numbers. This is because a figure accompanied by its method is worth infinitely more than a precise figure delivered alone — even if the first seems less certain.
This is why each article in this campaign indicates the date of the statement, the number of announcements, and the separation between raw and certified. These details make the reading more cumbersome; they are what make the numbers usable.
Misreading a market
The figure without its request
A median means nothing if you don't know which ads were counted. This is the first question to ask.
Comparison of heterogeneous measures
Two figures obtained by different research cannot be compared, even on the same series on the same day.
The gap taken for an evolution
A factor of three and a half between two simultaneous readings indicates no market movement.
The maximum taken as a reference
Requests for $2,950.00 and $7,500.00 appear in these statements, isolated and without indicative value.
We must add a limit which applies to all of these readings, including mine. An asking price is not a price paid, and nothing in this data provides information on the transactions actually concluded. A seller can advertise an amount for years without ever finding a buyer, and his announcement will weigh in every survey carried out in the meantime. What I measure is therefore the state of supply, never that of the market.
A reading method applicable everywhere
Four reflexes are enough to avoid making a mistake, in this series as in any other.
Always ask for the query.A market figure without its method of obtaining is not information, it is an assertion.
Count the ads before reading the median.A median in ten observations and a median in a hundred do not have the same status, even if they are written the same.
Cross several measurements.What appears in three differently constructed statements is solid; what only appears in one is a property of the query.
Systematically rule out the extremes.On these three statements, the maximums range from $199.99 to $7,500.00 without any being corroborated by a neighbor.
These four reflexes cost a few seconds and they protect against most errors.They are better than knowing a rating, which will expire long before them.
What to record
In a series where public measures diverge so much, the sheet must preserve what these measures will never say.
The price paid, the date, and the exact description the ad carried.This last mention is key: it indicates whether your copy was sold as an early print, as a late print or unspecified - information which determines what you can say later and which disappears as soon as the ad is removed.
On a series where the edition rank is a factor of one hundred between two identical copies in appearance, this is the only usable trace of what you have purchased.
The ad capture itself, when possible: seller descriptions are the primary source for this entire file, and none survive the sale.
These two statements constitute your own statement, the only one whose method will be known to you - which is precisely what all the others lack.
Frequently asked questions
Because they don't count the same ads. A broad search brings back all the numbers and lowers the median; a targeted search on the first number concentrates the pieces sought; a search mentioning print attracts sellers who document, including late prints. Three different populations.
None in isolation. What is solid is what survives all three measures: the body of the series remains between $9.99 and $23.00 gross median, the certified market is massive for self-publishing, and the colorized editions have no collectible market. These findings do not depend on any particular request.
Because certification has a precise function: to establish a draw rank that nothing else allows to simply verify, the successive draws being materially almost identical. This is why we certify modest examples — we seek to establish an identity, not a price.
As collectibles, no: zero certified ads out of 60 recorded, and a median of $9.99 aligned with that of current issues. They are designed to be read and distributed widely, which is exactly the opposite of the conditions that create collectible value.
Ask for the query that produced it, count the ads before reading the median, cross-reference with a measure constructed differently, and discard the extremes. On these statements, the maximums range from $199.99 to $7,500.00 without any being corroborated by a neighbor.
What exactly did the ad say?
First print, late print or without details: this mention disappears with the sale and determines everything.